Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.047317 0.051452 0.055641 0.060195 0.065000 0.069910 0.075303
2024-10-20 0.039911 0.045916 0.052228 0.059328 0.067065 0.075217 0.084426
2024-10-27 0.035262 0.042699 0.050775 0.060132 0.070613 0.081931 0.095015
2024-11-03 0.030711 0.039083 0.048463 0.059636 0.072466 0.086626 0.103326
2024-11-10 0.027405 0.036528 0.047048 0.059892 0.074964 0.091916 0.112246
2024-11-17 0.024944 0.034707 0.046265 0.060690 0.077944 0.097668 0.121663
2024-11-24 0.023944 0.034534 0.047346 0.063623 0.083391 0.106279 0.134432
2024-12-01 0.020796 0.031400 0.044587 0.061713 0.082900 0.107807 0.138849
2024-12-08 0.018646 0.029368 0.043036 0.061140 0.083902 0.111014 0.145184
2024-12-15 0.016861 0.027670 0.041783 0.060825 0.085126 0.114424 0.151723
2024-12-22 0.016237 0.027500 0.042475 0.062962 0.089396 0.121548 0.162781
2024-12-29 0.015284 0.026788 0.042385 0.064036 0.092298 0.126988 0.171813
2025-01-05 0.014270 0.025949 0.042114 0.064900 0.095000 0.132291 0.180849
2025-01-12 0.012778 0.024293 0.040630 0.064074 0.095475 0.134797 0.186446
2025-01-19 0.011966 0.023602 0.040447 0.064971 0.098182 0.140121 0.195582
2025-01-26 0.010812 0.022285 0.039295 0.064476 0.099006 0.143029 0.201693
2025-02-02 0.009983 0.021418 0.038738 0.064760 0.100839 0.147217 0.209425
2025-02-09 0.009378 0.020866 0.038606 0.065611 0.103414 0.152358 0.218382
2025-02-16 0.009385 0.021349 0.040039 0.068710 0.109073 0.161552 0.232579
2025-02-23 0.008160 0.019598 0.037975 0.066698 0.107680 0.161491 0.234888
2025-03-02 0.007367 0.018539 0.036920 0.066096 0.108184 0.163892 0.240351
2025-03-09 0.006699 0.017648 0.036078 0.065764 0.109031 0.166729 0.246377
2025-03-16 0.006600 0.017826 0.036959 0.068018 0.113535 0.174473 0.258846